โก Quick Summary
This study explored the use of machine learning algorithms to optimize outpatient follow-up schedules for patients after cervical laminoplasty. The long short-term memory (LSTM) model achieved an impressive AUC of 0.90, indicating its potential for predicting long-term patient outcomes.
๐ Key Details
- ๐ Dataset: 80 patients who underwent cervical laminoplasty
- ๐งฉ Features used: Japanese Orthopedic Association (JOA) scores
- โ๏ธ Technology: Eight machine learning algorithms, with LSTM as the best performer
- ๐ Performance: LSTM: AUC 0.90 ยฑ 0.13
๐ Key Takeaways
- ๐ Regular follow-ups may not be necessary for all patients post-laminoplasty.
- ๐ก Machine learning can help predict which patients will achieve a satisfactory symptom state.
- ๐ฉโ๐ฌ JOA scores were critical in assessing patient outcomes at various time points.
- ๐ LSTM outperformed other algorithms in predicting long-term outcomes.
- ๐ Study conducted at Seoul National University Hospital.
- ๐ Clinical Trials Identifier: NCT02487901.
- ๐ Follow-up optimization could lead to better resource utilization in healthcare.
๐ Background
After undergoing cervical laminoplasty for cervical myelopathy, patients typically require regular follow-up appointments to monitor their recovery. However, many patients experience significant improvements in their symptoms and may not need to adhere to a strict follow-up schedule. This study aims to leverage machine learning to identify which patients can safely reduce their follow-up frequency based on early postoperative outcomes.
๐๏ธ Study
The research involved 80 patients who had cervical laminoplasty. The study analyzed their JOA scores at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months post-surgery to develop predictive models for their outcomes at the 24-month mark. The patient acceptable symptom state (PASS) was defined as a JOA score of โฅ14.25, and various machine learning algorithms were tested to predict this status.
๐ Results
Among the eight machine learning algorithms tested, the LSTM-based model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.90 ยฑ 0.13. This indicates a high level of accuracy in predicting which patients would reach the PASS threshold at 24 months postoperatively.
๐ Impact and Implications
The findings from this study could significantly impact how follow-up schedules are managed in clinical settings. By utilizing machine learning to predict patient outcomes, healthcare providers can optimize their resources and focus on patients who truly need ongoing monitoring. This approach not only enhances patient care but also improves the efficiency of healthcare systems.
๐ฎ Conclusion
This research highlights the transformative potential of machine learning in optimizing outpatient follow-up schedules after cervical laminoplasty. The successful application of the LSTM model suggests that similar methodologies could be employed in various medical fields to enhance patient management and resource allocation. Continued exploration in this area is encouraged to further refine these predictive models.
๐ฌ Your comments
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Machine-learning-based models for the optimization of post-cervical spinal laminoplasty outpatient follow-up schedules.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Patients undergo regular clinical follow-up after laminoplasty for cervical myelopathy. However, those whose symptoms significantly improve and remain stable do not need to conform to a regular follow-up schedule. Based on the 1-year postoperative outcomes, we aimed to use a machine-learning (ML) algorithm to predict 2-year postoperative outcomes.
METHODS: We enrolled 80 patients who underwent cervical laminoplasty for cervical myelopathy. The patients’ Japanese Orthopedic Association (JOA) scores (range: 0-17) were analyzed at the 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-month postoperative timepoints to evaluate their ability to predict the 2-year postoperative outcomes. The patient acceptable symptom state (PASS) was defined as a JOA scoreโโฅโ14.25 at 24 months postoperatively and, based on clinical outcomes recorded up to the 1-year postoperative timepoint, eight ML algorithms were developed to predict PASS status at the 24-month postoperative timepoint. The performance of each of these algorithms was evaluated, and its generalizability was assessed using a prospective internal test set.
RESULTS: The long short-term memory (LSTM)-based algorithm demonstrated the best performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.90โยฑโ0.13).
CONCLUSIONS: The LSTM-based algorithm accurately predicted which group was likely to achieve PASS at the 24-month postoperative timepoint. Although this study included a small number of patients with limited available clinical data, the concept of using past outcomes to predict further outcomes presented herein may provide insights for optimizing clinical schedules and efficient medical resource utilization.
TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was registered as a clinical trial (Clinical Trial No. NCT02487901), and the study protocol was approved by the Seoul National University Hospital Institutional Review Board (IRB No. 1505-037-670).
Author: [‘Seo Y’, ‘Jeong S’, ‘Lee S’, ‘Kim TS’, ‘Kim JH’, ‘Chung CK’, ‘Lee CH’, ‘Rhee JM’, ‘Kong HJ’, ‘Kim CH’]
Journal: BMC Med Inform Decis Mak
Citation: Seo Y, et al. Machine-learning-based models for the optimization of post-cervical spinal laminoplasty outpatient follow-up schedules. Machine-learning-based models for the optimization of post-cervical spinal laminoplasty outpatient follow-up schedules. 2024; 24:278. doi: 10.1186/s12911-024-02693-y